I am unfathomably excited for this tournament and I cannot wait until 17 minutes in that I declare my lineup(s) dead and that I’m onto the Valspar. That’s a whole 6 minutes longer than I usually make it before taking my weekly Thursday spin on the tilt-a-whirl.
Two of my best friends in the entire world and I have a year long Draft Kings golf league for a $1 a week. It’s the sweetest $2.70 anyone could ever win. Lately, however, we’ve run into the fact we’ve had one golfer rostered at 100%. My two best friends are complete assholes who read my Substack too much and ruin a perfectly good play because that 100% guy usually ejects faster than a fighter pilot whose jet is going down.
So, if those jerks roster one of my guys again, I’ll tell Twitter who is already toast so you can move on with your life.
Anyway, on to the player pool.
Scottie is just the best golfer on the planet. No way around it. They priced him as high as I’ve seen a golfer, but then immediately made like 60%+ of the field sub $7K, so getting to him is no issue at all. He’ll push 30% in clicks. He’s fine if you can find a way to get different elsewhere, which I do think is possible.
Zalatoris is going to be an immensely popular click, but I don’t have much bad to say about him.
Si Woo will carry a ton of clicks as well, easily climbing into the double digits. He’s great, so long as you don’t pair him with Scottie.
Finau’s accuracy is trouble, but his numbers don’t lie.
I feel like a lot of people are getting on to Doug Ghim. While I don’t think he fully gets to double digits, I do think he’ll scrape the ceiling. Still, it’s hard to deny where his game is at and how much green is lighting up his key metrics this week.
I think Corey Conners is perfectly fine here and doesn’t carry too many clicks.
I really, really like Sam Burns again this week. He showed a ton of flashes last week and I think he’s heading in a strong direction.
Andrew Novak stood out a ton to me here, as well.
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Morikawa is flirting with the dead to me list after last week’s embarrassment. I’m cautious of his trend rank and what I perceive to be key distances in his GIR Tour rank.
Pavon is fine, so is Russ Henley.
Glover, again, looks like a perfectly fine play to me.
Aaron Rai is going to be chalk, especially paired with Scottie, so if you’re insistent on clicking the two gloved wonder, make sure you don’t click him with Scottie.
You’re going to chase me out of the community with this, but I really think Billy Horschel will be under clicked and the market is too low on him. He’s not super overwhelming in any one specific area, but he has an early Thursday morning tee time, plays super well in Florida and his key distances, bogey avoidance and good drive percentage are all in the high echelon of Tour rank this year.
Greyson Sigg - yeah… I know. I know. He’s a solid play though, and also has an early Thursday tee time. He is dirt, dirt cheap and he’s going to come in 1-2% max.
Carson Young will get some love down in that salary region, 4-6% is where I’m thinking, but he’s fine.
Akshay & Alex Noren are two that I am also really interested in.
Tom Kim doesn’t have the peripherals, but if there is a course that fits what he has done well so far in his young career, it’s this one. The field is also getting weary of him, and those are usually good times to pounce, especially if you’re entering multiple lineups.
Good luck - let’s get 6/6 through.