CJ Cup: Player Pool
The number one player is also the chalkiest. Go figure.
Craig Ranch is an incredibly easy course. Wind is about it’s only defense and the rough will be slightly longer than what they’ve all recently seen, but shouldn’t be penal and it’s very much a bombs away type course. I included accuracy ranks relative to field just in case you wanted to use it as a tiebreaker, but it’s not an end all be all for me.
Speaking of wind, these are always subject to change and frankly they usually don’t provide an insane amount of difference, but just so I’m at least acknowledging it, there does seem to be a slight, slight advantage to afternoon Thursday-morning Friday tee times. But nothing I would center your entire lineup around.
Proximity to the hole ranks are relative to the PGA Tour as a whole, but it’s one of the only “tough” parts on this course, so players getting it closer to the hole than most will peak my interest a little bit more.
From a click percentage standpoint, I’m only seeing three golfers (Si Woo Kim, Noren, Hoge) that will hit 20% or more, so just use your caution around those three and we have to try and find our value guys sub 5% that will help carry us if we choose to play one of the above three.
Kind of already addressed Si Woo, Noren & Hoge so we don’t need to open any further case files on them.
Lashley’s putter kind of sucks, same with Mitchell, but I don’t think they’re bad plays. This field is big time trash.
I like Kuest. He’ll probably be one of the more clicked players in that price range, but so far, everything checks out. Same with Seamus Power.
Absolutely love Ben Martin in this spot. I don’t think anyone is playing him and he has plus odds all the way down to top 40 and I think you can play him in DFS and ladder him bets wise as well.
To be perfectly honest, there isn’t a single name on this list I’m cautious of. I think every single one of these guys is completely playable and I’m comfortable with all of them. It’s a really straight forward week.
I do think both Si Woo & Noren will be the absolute chalkiest clicks and may even spike from optimizer settings so those are the two I feel you should be most cautious about when playing. They’re both good, but neither are Scottie Scheffler must plays type of thing.
This is the area we really need to try and nail our value picks if we have to stray outside of any of the names up top.
Matti Schmid looks to be solid, he won’t be chalky, and he seems to have rebounded nicely from a disastrous start to the season. Since his March 7th start at Puerto Rico, so going on two months of tournaments, he has not missed a cut and has logged a top 10, two top 20’s and two top 30’s, some of which being birdie fest type settings like this will be. All of the peripherals check out, as well.
I think C.T. Pan is a decent play here as well.
I really, really like Chandler Phillips this week. 70% made cuts on the season, no one is playing him, weak field, etc. I think he’s a solid bottom of your roster player.
Greyserman is another name that I think fits exactly what I just said about Chandler Phillips.
Novak had a torrid February but has cooled off since. Has at least made his last three cuts.
I think Dylan Wu has remained under the radar enough to keep him in play.
I mentioned in the betting six pack that I think S.H. Kim is a solid play and no one is playing him. He made the cut last year and I vaguely remember him contending for a little while before having an implosion round, but I could honestly just be making that up. Who knows.
Laird, List, Lower & Spaun are all just kind of like sure why not plays. I think you only need to go there if it somehow makes the rest of your roster work or if you’re convinced on any of them. Lower is probably the best of that bunch, but List would be right behind him.
Good luck - let’s get 6/6 through.