Arnold Palmer Inv.: Player Pool
Here we go
I have the list whittled down to 30 golfers. Same theory as Genesis - we’re really trying to make sure we get our 6/6 through, find the winner (so easy to do right?) and not play chalk.
Easy game.
Bay Hill is such a challenge and so much goes into it, got a little deeper in terms of what we’re looking for.
Scottie is obviously going to be super chalky. I’m fine fading him with the putting woes, but leave no doubt - he’s the best golfer on the planet.
People will be all over Rory (and Hovland - more on that later) and that’s fine. Great course history. Another one I’m fine fading or being underweight on.
But - here’s the deal - don’t go 0% on either of them in multiple entries. That’s insane. I’m strictly talking being out in single entry where they will steam or maybe slightly under the field.
I’d rather play Rory than Scottie if forced to choose between the two.
Ludvig fits a lot of profile stuff I’m looking for here. He’ll get his clicks, but not near to the extent the top 3-4 get.
Hoge has a mixed bag in terms of results here, but I think where he’s being clicked for this type of event, I’m fine going right back to the well with him.
Matsuyama did indeed tweak his back per Yahoo! Sports of Japan - fine fading him and the 7-10% of lineups that will have him.
I like Nick Taylor. Not too much to add there. I wish he got the ball closer to the pin, but for the most part I think he has what we’re looking for. He will be under clicked, especially being a direct pivot off of the chalk bomb that is Min Woo Lee (who did not make the player pool).
I like Spieth a lot here.
I really think it might be Collin Morikawa week. Outside of a poor week at Farmers, he’s been pretty elite this season and won back in October at the Zozo. I have him as the second lowest clicked in the $9,000 range and that’s outstanding leverage.
Burns is a solid click.
I really like Jason Day again. He might be low double digits, but I think you can easily absorb that.
Cam Young might steam some because he’s way underpriced.
Si Woo - I am begging you to work on your putter.
Outside of a clunker at Sony, Lucas Glover has been perfectly fine this year! Mostly top-30’s. He’s $6,300 and no one is clicking him. He doesn’t have bad course history here either. He kicked in 67 points at Genesis with a mid 30’s finish and you’ll take that all day in this type of event at his price with no one else on him.
Eckroat is solid. Will he steam some or have a let down from last week?
I don’t really have much interest in Hojgaard.
Homa - what to do with Homa. His peripherals are really solid for the most part and he had two bad tournaments - one of which he got the short end of the weather draw. He’s the least clicked player in the $9,000 range and has decent enough course history. You could certainly do worse.
And lastly - it pains me to do this - and will probably bite me - but I am completely out on Hovland point blank. He’s going to carry a ton of clicks, he’s super popular & he’s one of my all time favorite golfers since I met him in Detroit in 2019 and walked his practice round with Matt Wolff. However, his metrics just aren’t there yet this season and his best finish is a T-19 at Genesis. Maybe he rounds into form and crushes it. And I’m fine if that happens taking the risk. But at 20-25% in clicks, I’m hoping for more than just a tie in the top 20 range as my lead off golfer. Would much rather just pay up for Rory or Scottie.
Good luck y’all - let’s get 6/6 through.